Prediction markets: A literature review 2014
CF Horn, BS Ivens, M Ohneberg… - The Journal of …, 2014 - portal.findresearcher.sdu.dk
Abstract In recent years, Prediction Markets gained growing interest as a forecasting tool
among researchers as well as practitioners, which resulted in an increasing number of …
among researchers as well as practitioners, which resulted in an increasing number of …
Predicting the failures of prediction markets: A procedure of decision making using classification models
Prediction markets have been an important source of information for decision makers due to
their high ex post accuracies. Nevertheless, recent failures of prediction markets remind us …
their high ex post accuracies. Nevertheless, recent failures of prediction markets remind us …
[PDF][PDF] The Use of Knowledge in Prediction Markets: How Much of Them Need He Know?
In this article, we extend an early agent-based spatial model of the prediction market by
taking into account the heterogeneities of agents in their tolerance capacity (tolerance to …
taking into account the heterogeneities of agents in their tolerance capacity (tolerance to …
Spatial modeling of agent-based prediction markets: Role of individuals
In this paper, we extend the spatial agent-based prediction market proposed by Yu and
Chen at MABS 2011 into a spatial model in which agents choose their community …
Chen at MABS 2011 into a spatial model in which agents choose their community …
Agent-based modeling of the prediction markets for political elections
We propose a simple agent-based model of the political election prediction market which
reflects the intrinsic feature of the prediction market as an information aggregation …
reflects the intrinsic feature of the prediction market as an information aggregation …
On the Prediction Accuracy of Prediction Markets: Would the Spatial Distribution of Information Matter?
In this model, an agent-based political futures market is built upon the Schelling segregation
model, in which the heterogeneity in ethnicity is replaced by political identity. A two …
model, in which the heterogeneity in ethnicity is replaced by political identity. A two …
[PDF][PDF] Toward a spatial agent-based prediction market: would the spatial distribution of information matter?
Bin-Tzong Chie Shu-Heng Chen Department of Industrial Economics AI-Econ Research
Center Tamkang University Department of Economics Tamshui, New Taipei City, Taiwan …
Center Tamkang University Department of Economics Tamshui, New Taipei City, Taiwan …