The great lockdown and the big stimulus: Tracing the pandemic possibility frontier for the US

G Kaplan, B Moll, GL Violante - 2020 - nber.org
We provide a quantitative analysis of the trade-offs between health outcomes and the
distribution of economic outcomes associated with alternative policy responses to the …

Estimating the reproductive number R0 of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States and eight European countries and implications for vaccination

R Ke, E Romero-Severson, S Sanche… - Journal of theoretical …, 2021 - Elsevier
SARS-CoV-2 rapidly spread from a regional outbreak to a global pandemic in just a few
months. Global research efforts have focused on developing effective vaccines against …

The limited power of monetary policy in a pandemic

A Lepetit, C Fuentes-Albero - European Economic Review, 2022 - Elsevier
We embed an extension of the canonical epidemiology model in a New Keynesian model
and analyze the role of monetary policy as a virus spreads and triggers a sizable recession …

Model-based assessment of the risks of viral transmission in non-confined crowds

W Garcia, S Mendez, B Fray, A Nicolas - Safety science, 2021 - Elsevier
This work assesses the risks of Covid-19 spread in diverse daily-life situations involving
crowds of maskless pedestrians, mostly outdoors. More concretely, we develop a method to …

Quantitatively assessing early detection strategies for mitigating COVID-19 and future pandemics

AB Liu, D Lee, AP Jalihal, WP Hanage… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Researchers and policymakers have proposed systems to detect novel pathogens earlier
than existing surveillance systems by monitoring samples from hospital patients …

Association of COVID-19 quarantine duration and postquarantine transmission risk in 4 university cohorts

AB Liu, D Davidi, HE Landsberg… - JAMA network …, 2022 - jamanetwork.com
Importance Optimal quarantine length for COVID-19 infection is unclear, in part owing to
limited empirical data. Objective To assess postquarantine transmission risk for various …

A versatile web app for identifying the drivers of COVID-19 epidemics

WM Getz, R Salter, L Luisa Vissat, N Horvitz - Journal of Translational …, 2021 - Springer
Background No versatile web app exists that allows epidemiologists and managers around
the world to comprehensively analyze the impacts of COVID-19 mitigation. The http://covid …

A modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model for observed under-reported incidence data

I Trejo, NW Hengartner - PloS one, 2022 - journals.plos.org
Fitting Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models to incidence data is problematic when
not all infected individuals are reported. Assuming an underlying SIR model with general but …

The illusion of personal health decisions for infectious disease management: disease spread in social contact networks

M Michalska-Smith, EA Enns… - Royal Society …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Close contacts between individuals provide opportunities for the transmission of diseases,
including COVID-19. While individuals take part in many different types of interactions …

[HTML][HTML] Inferring the effective start dates of non-pharmaceutical interventions during COVID-19 outbreaks

I Kohanovski, U Obolski, Y Ram - International Journal of Infectious …, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Background During Feb-Apr. 2020, many countries implemented non-
pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as school closures and lockdowns, to control the …