Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

C Deser, F Lehner, KB Rodgers, T Ault… - Nature Climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …

Megadroughts in the Common Era and the Anthropocene

BI Cook, JE Smerdon, ER Cook, AP Williams… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
Exceptional drought events, known as megadroughts, have occurred on every continent
outside Antarctica over the past~ 2,000 years, causing major ecological and societal …

Divergent effects of climate change on future groundwater availability in key mid-latitude aquifers

WY Wu, MH Lo, Y Wada, JS Famiglietti… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
Groundwater provides critical freshwater supply, particularly in dry regions where surface
water availability is limited. Climate change impacts on GWS (groundwater storage) could …

Agricultural risks from changing snowmelt

Y Qin, JT Abatzoglou, S Siebert, LS Huning… - Nature climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Snowpack stores cold-season precipitation to meet warm-season water demand. Climate
change threatens to disturb this balance by altering the fraction of precipitation falling as …

Climate change and drought: From past to future

BI Cook, JS Mankin, KJ Anchukaitis - Current Climate Change Reports, 2018 - Springer
Drought is a complex and multivariate phenomenon influenced by diverse physical and
biological processes. Such complexity precludes simplistic explanations of cause and effect …

Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events

NS Diffenbaugh, D Singh, JS Mankin… - Proceedings of the …, 2017 - National Acad Sciences
Efforts to understand the influence of historical global warming on individual extreme climate
events have increased over the past decade. However, despite substantial progress, events …

Increasing dependence of lowland populations on mountain water resources

D Viviroli, M Kummu, M Meybeck, M Kallio… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
Mountain areas provide disproportionally high runoff in many parts of the world, but their
importance for water resources and food production has not been clarified from the …

How much runoff originates as snow in the western United States, and how will that change in the future?

D Li, ML Wrzesien, M Durand, J Adam… - Geophysical …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract In the western United States, the seasonal phase of snow storage bridges between
winter‐dominant precipitation and summer‐dominant water demand. The critical role of …

Spatial variation of the rain–snow temperature threshold across the Northern Hemisphere

KS Jennings, TS Winchell, B Livneh… - Nature …, 2018 - nature.com
Despite the importance of precipitation phase to global hydroclimate simulations, many land
surface models use spatially uniform air temperature thresholds to partition rain and snow …

[HTML][HTML] Evidence of human influence on Northern Hemisphere snow loss

AR Gottlieb, JS Mankin - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
Documenting the rate, magnitude and causes of snow loss is essential to benchmark the
pace of climate change and to manage the differential water security risks of snowpack …