Survey of data assimilation methods for convective‐scale numerical weather prediction at operational centres

N Gustafsson, T Janjić, C Schraff… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Data assimilation (DA) methods for convective‐scale numerical weather prediction at
operational centres are surveyed. The operational methods include variational methods (3D …

On the representation error in data assimilation

T Janjić, N Bormann, M Bocquet… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Representation, representativity, representativeness error, forward interpolation error,
forward model error, observation‐operator error, aggregation error and sampling error are …

Improvements in forecasting intense rainfall: Results from the FRANC (Forecasting Rainfall exploiting new data Assimilation techniques and Novel observations of …

SL Dance, SP Ballard, RN Bannister, P Clark, HL Cloke… - Atmosphere, 2019 - mdpi.com
The FRANC project (Forecasting Rainfall exploiting new data Assimilation techniques and
Novel observations of Convection) has researched improvements in numerical weather …

Recommendations for improving integration in national end-to-end flood forecasting systems: An overview of the FFIR (Flooding From Intense Rainfall) programme

DLA Flack, CJ Skinner, L Hawkness-Smith… - Water, 2019 - mdpi.com
Recent surface-water and flash floods have caused millions of pounds worth of damage in
the UK. These events form rapidly and are difficult to predict due to their short-lived and …

Progress, challenges, and future steps in data assimilation for convection‐permitting numerical weather prediction: Report on the virtual meeting held on 10 and 12 …

G Hu, SL Dance, RN Bannister… - Atmospheric Science …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract In November 2021, the Royal Meteorological Society Data Assimilation (DA)
Special Interest Group and the University of Reading hosted a virtual meeting on the topic of …

Theoretical insight into diagnosing observation error correlations using observation‐minus‐background and observation‐minus‐analysis statistics

JA Waller, SL Dance, NK Nichols - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
To improve the quantity and impact of observations used in data assimilation, it is necessary
to take into account the full, potentially correlated, observation error statistics. A number of …

Diagnosing atmospheric motion vector observation errors for an operational high‐resolution data assimilation system

M Cordoba, SL Dance, GA Kelly… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) are wind observations derived by tracking cloud or
water‐vapour features in consecutive satellite images. These observations are incorporated …

Diagnosing horizontal and inter-channel observation error correlations for SEVIRI observations using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis …

JA Waller, SP Ballard, SL Dance, G Kelly, NK Nichols… - Remote sensing, 2016 - mdpi.com
It has been common practice in data assimilation to treat observation errors as uncorrelated;
however, meteorological centres are beginning to use correlated inter-channel observation …

On the interaction of observation and prior error correlations in data assimilation

AM Fowler, SL Dance, JA Waller - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The importance of prior error correlations in data assimilation has long been known;
however, observation‐error correlations have typically been neglected. Recent progress has …

Sampling and misspecification errors in the estimation of observation‐error covariance matrices using observation‐minus‐background and observation‐minus …

G Hu, SL Dance - … Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Specification of the observation‐error covariance matrix for data assimilation
systems affects the observation information content retained by the analysis, particularly for …