Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

R Knutti, MAA Rugenstein, GC Hegerl - Nature Geoscience, 2017 - nature.com
Equilibrium climate sensitivity characterizes the Earth's long-term global temperature
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …

The physics of climate variability and climate change

M Ghil, V Lucarini - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2020 - APS
The climate is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex, and heterogeneous system that is
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …

[HTML][HTML] Stochastic parameterization: Toward a new view of weather and climate models

J Berner, U Achatz, L Batte… - Bulletin of the …, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
Stochastic Parameterization: Toward a New View of Weather and Climate Models in:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 98 Issue 3 (2017) Jump to Content …

[图书][B] Extremes and recurrence in dynamical systems

V Lucarini, D Faranda, JMM de Freitas, M Holland… - 2016 - books.google.com
Written by a team of international experts, Extremes and Recurrence in Dynamical Systems
presents a unique point of view on the mathematical theory of extremes and on its …

[HTML][HTML] The point of no return for climate action: effects of climate uncertainty and risk tolerance

M Aengenheyster, QY Feng… - Earth System …, 2018 - esd.copernicus.org
If the Paris Agreement targets are to be met, there may be very few years left for policy
makers to start cutting emissions. Here we calculate by what year, at the latest, one has to …

Theoretical tools for understanding the climate crisis from Hasselmann's programme and beyond

V Lucarini, MD Chekroun - Nature Reviews Physics, 2023 - nature.com
Klaus Hasselmann's revolutionary intuition in climate science was to use the stochasticity
associated with fast weather processes to probe the slow dynamics of the climate system …

Mathematical and physical ideas for climate science

V Lucarini, R Blender, C Herbert… - Reviews of …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
The climate is a forced and dissipative nonlinear system featuring nontrivial dynamics on a
vast range of spatial and temporal scales. The understanding of the climate's structural and …

Predicting climate change using response theory: Global averages and spatial patterns

V Lucarini, F Ragone, F Lunkeit - Journal of Statistical Physics, 2017 - Springer
The provision of accurate methods for predicting the climate response to anthropogenic and
natural forcings is a key contemporary scientific challenge. Using a simplified and efficient …

A century of nonlinearity in the geosciences

M Ghil - Earth and Space Science, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
This paper provides a thumbnail sketch of the evolution of nonlinear ideas in the
mathematics and physics of the geosciences, broadly construed, over the last hundred or so …

Accounting for the climate–carbon feedback in emission metrics

T Gasser, GP Peters, JS Fuglestvedt… - Earth System …, 2017 - esd.copernicus.org
Most emission metrics have previously been inconsistently estimated by including the
climate–carbon feedback for the reference gas (ie CO 2) but not the other species (eg CH 4) …