R Lehmann - Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The ifo Institute is Germany's largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product …
As one of the main pillars of the ifo Institute's economic research, the ifo Business Survey has been conducted monthly since 1949, a year after the foundation of the ifo Institute. Since …
Economic forecasts are an important element of rational economic policy both on the federal and on the local or regional level. Solid budgetary plans for government expenditures and …
We construct a real-time dataset (FRED-SD) with vintage data for the US states that can be used to forecast both state-level and national-level variables. Our dataset includes …
We tackle the nowcasting problem at the regional level, using a large set of indicators (regional, national and international) for the years 1998 to 2013. We explicitly take into …
AG Billé, A Tomelleri, F Ravazzolo - Spatial Economic Analysis, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The monitoring of the regional (provincial) economic situation is of particular importance due to the high level of heterogeneity and interdependences among different territories. Although …
R Lehmann, K Wohlrabe - Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 2017 - Springer
This paper applies component-wise boosting to the topic of regional economic forecasting. Component-wise boosting is a pre-selection algorithm of indicators for forecasting. By using …
S Lombardini - Papers in Regional Science, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper shifts studies on macroeconomic models from a national to a regional scope. Regions, indeed, often follow growth trajectories that dif-fer greatly from others within the …
Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic nowcasting. The rising interest in analyses at the sub-national level cannot be served as …