Extreme events in dynamical systems and random walkers: A review

SN Chowdhury, A Ray, SK Dana, D Ghosh - Physics Reports, 2022 - Elsevier
Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various
contexts ranging from climate to brain. An observable that deviates significantly from its long …

Using machine learning to predict extreme events in complex systems

D Qi, AJ Majda - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
Extreme events and the related anomalous statistics are ubiquitously observed in many
natural systems, and the development of efficient methods to understand and accurately …

Model error, information barriers, state estimation and prediction in complex multiscale systems

AJ Majda, N Chen - Entropy, 2018 - mdpi.com
Complex multiscale systems are ubiquitous in many areas. This research expository article
discusses the development and applications of a recent information-theoretic framework as …

Statistical dynamical model to predict extreme events and anomalous features in shallow water waves with abrupt depth change

AJ Majda, MNJ Moore, D Qi - Proceedings of the National …, 2019 - National Acad Sciences
Understanding and predicting extreme events and their anomalous statistics in complex
nonlinear systems are a grand challenge in climate, material, and neuroscience as well as …

Strategies for reduced-order models for predicting the statistical responses and uncertainty quantification in complex turbulent dynamical systems

AJ Majda, D Qi - SIAM Review, 2018 - SIAM
Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a
large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and …

Distance dependent competitive interactions in a frustrated network of mobile agents

SN Chowdhury, S Majhi… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Diverse collective dynamics emerge in dynamical systems interacting on top of complex
network architectures. Along this line of research, temporal network has come out to be one …

A minimization principle for the description of modes associated with finite-time instabilities

H Babaee, TP Sapsis - Proceedings of the Royal Society …, 2016 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We introduce a minimization formulation for the determination of a finite-dimensional, time-
dependent, orthonormal basis that captures directions of the phase space associated with …

A probabilistic decomposition-synthesis method for the quantification of rare events due to internal instabilities

MA Mohamad, W Cousins, TP Sapsis - Journal of Computational Physics, 2016 - Elsevier
We consider the problem of the probabilistic quantification of dynamical systems that have
heavy-tailed characteristics. These heavy-tailed features are associated with rare transient …

Predicting fat-tailed intermittent probability distributions in passive scalar turbulence with imperfect models through empirical information theory

D Qi, AJ Majda - Communications in Mathematical Sciences, 2016 - nyuscholars.nyu.edu
Modelling extreme events is a central issue in climate science and engineering. The
capacity of imperfect models to capture intermittent behavior with fat-tailed probability …

Probabilistic response and rare events in Mathieu׳ s equation under correlated parametric excitation

MA Mohamad, TP Sapsis - Ocean Engineering, 2016 - Elsevier
We derive an analytical approximation to the probability distribution function (pdf) for the
response of Mathieu׳ s equation under parametric excitation by a random process with a …