The CESM2 single-forcing large ensemble and comparison to CESM1: Implications for experimental design

IR Simpson, N Rosenbloom, G Danabasoglu… - Journal of …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Single-forcing large ensembles are a relatively new tool for quantifying the contributions of
different anthropogenic and natural forcings to the historical and future projected evolution of …

The competition between anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas climate forcing is revealed by North Pacific water-mass changes

JR Shi, SE Wijffels, YO Kwon, LD Talley, ST Gille - Science advances, 2023 - science.org
Modeled water-mass changes in the North Pacific thermocline, both in the subsurface and at
the surface, reveal the impact of the competition between anthropogenic aerosols (AAs) and …

The role of anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the 1850–1985 strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations

J Robson, MB Menary, RT Sutton, J Mecking… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Previous work has shown that anthropogenic aerosol (AA) forcing drives a strengthening in
the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in CMIP6 historical simulations over …

Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP)

DM Smith, NP Gillett, IR Simpson… - Frontiers in …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
Multi-annual to decadal changes in climate are accompanied by changes in extreme events
that cause major impacts on society and severe challenges for adaptation. Early warnings of …

Tropical eastern Pacific cooling trend reinforced by human activity

ES Chung, SJ Kim, SK Lee, KJ Ha, SW Yeh… - npj Climate and …, 2024 - nature.com
It remains unresolved whether the La Niña-like sea surface temperature (SST) trend pattern
during the satellite era, featuring a distinct warming in the northwest/southwest Pacific but …

Atmosphere teleconnections from abatement of China aerosol emissions exacerbate Northeast Pacific warm blob events

H Wang, XT Zheng, W Cai, ZW Han… - Proceedings of the …, 2024 - National Acad Sciences
During 2010 to 2020, Northeast Pacific (NEP) sea surface temperature (SST) experienced
the warmest decade ever recorded, manifested in several extreme marine heatwaves …

Anthropogenic aerosols contribute to the recent decline in precipitation over the US Southwest

YN Kuo, H Kim, F Lehner - Geophysical Research Letters, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The winter‐spring precipitation over the Southwestern United States (SWUS) decreased
since 1980. It is frequently attributed to Pacific internal decadal variability, but recent studies …

Subsurface ocean temperature responses to the anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the North Pacific

JR Shi, YO Kwon, SE Wijffels - Geophysical Research Letters, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Separating the climate response to external forcing from internal climate variability is a key
challenge. While most previous studies have focused on surface responses, here we …

Role of external forcing in the time-varying trends of global-mean surface temperature under current and future climates

P Gu, B Gan, W Cai, L Wu - Environmental Research Letters, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
The decadal-scale global-mean surface temperature (GMST) trend fluctuates between rapid-
warming, slow-warming and cooling under the combined action of external forcing (EX) and …

UKESM1. 1: Development and evaluation of an updated configuration of the UK Earth System Model

JP Mulcahy, CG Jones, ST Rumbold… - Geoscientific Model …, 2022 - gmd.copernicus.org
Many CMIP6 models exhibit a substantial cold bias in global mean surface temperature
(GMST) in the latter part of the 20th century. An overly strong negative aerosol forcing has …