Volatility forecasting with hybrid neural networks methods for risk parity investment strategies

L Di Persio, M Garbelli, F Mottaghi… - Expert Systems with …, 2023 - Elsevier
We present a hybrid method for computing volatility forecasts that can be used to implement
a risk-controlled strategy for a multi-asset portfolio consisting of both US and international …

Multi-model transfer function approach tuned by PSO for predicting stock market implied volatility explained by uncertainty indexes

K Tissaoui, S Boubaker, B Hkiri, N Azibi - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
This paper studies the forecasting power of uncertainty emanating from the commodities
market, energy market, economic policy, and geopolitical threats to the CBOE Volatility Index …

Financial time series forecasting: a data stream mining-based system

Z Bousbaa, J Sanchez-Medina, O Bencharef - Electronics, 2023 - mdpi.com
Data stream mining (DSM) represents a promising process to forecast financial time series
exchange rate. Financial historical data generate several types of cyclical patterns that …

Deepvol: Volatility forecasting from high-frequency data with dilated causal convolutions

F Moreno-Pino, S Zohren - Quantitative Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Volatility forecasts play a central role among equity risk measures. Besides traditional
statistical models, modern forecasting techniques based on machine learning can be …

[HTML][HTML] A generalization of the Topological Tail Dependence theory: From indices to individual stocks

HG Souto, A Moradi - Decision Analytics Journal, 2024 - Elsevier
This study investigates the Topological Tail Dependence (TTD) theory's applicability to
individual stock volatility and high dimensions. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset from the …

Graph-based methods for forecasting realized covariances

C Zhang, X Pu, M Cucuringu… - Journal of Financial …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
We forecast the realized covariance matrix of asset returns in the US equity market by
exploiting the predictive information of graphs in volatility and correlation. Specifically, we …

[HTML][HTML] Major Issues in High-Frequency Financial Data Analysis: A Survey of Solutions

L Zhang, L Hua - Mathematics, 2025 - mdpi.com
We review recent articles that focus on the main issues identified in high-frequency financial
data analysis. The issues to be addressed include nonstationarity, low signal-to-noise ratios …

The impact of foreign stock market indices on predictions volatility of the WIG20 index rates of return using neural networks

E Fraszka-Sobczyk, A Zakrzewska - Computational Economics, 2024 - Springer
The paper investigates the issue of volatility of stock index returns on the Warsaw Stock
Exchange (WIG20 index returns volatility). The purpose of this review is to compare how …

The latency accuracy trade-off and optimization in implied volatility-based trading systems

G Guo, Y Qi, S Lai, Z Liu, J Yen - Expert Systems with Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
In contemporary financial quantitative analysis systems, accuracy usually means lower risks
and higher profits, and latency usually implies more uncertainty. A more accurate implied …

Forecasting realized volatility with spillover effects: Perspectives from graph neural networks

C Zhang, X Pu, M Cucuringu, X Dong - International Journal of Forecasting, 2025 - Elsevier
We present a novel nonparametric methodology for modeling and forecasting multivariate
realized volatilities using customized graph neural networks to incorporate spillover effects …