Sales forecasting is important in production and supply chain management. It affects firms'
planning, strategy, marketing, logistics, warehousing and resource management. While …

Das vorliegende Handbuch soll einen Überblick über die Befragungen des ifo Instituts
sowie die daraus resultierenden Konjunkturindikatoren und deren Verwendung für die …

Comprehensive and international comparable leading indicators across countries and
continents are rare. In this paper, we use a free and instantaneous available source of …

Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes. Since imports fluctuate heavily
over time, they are difficult to forecast and reliable leading indicators are needed. Our paper …

In this study we use survey expectations about a wide range of economic variables to
forecast real activity. We propose an empirical approach to derive mathematical functional …

In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for
employment growth in 15 European states. Our data cover the period from the first quarter …

Foreign economic activity is a major determinant of export developments. However, foreign
GDP figures are published too late to be useful for short‐term forecasting. This paper …

The accurate prediction of industry trends has become increasingly challenging because of
unforeseen events. To address this challenge, this study proposes a deep learning …

This study contributes to research on the nonparametric evaluation of German trade
forecasts. To this end, I compute random classification and regression forests to analyze the …

ABSTRACT I analyse the joint efficiency of export and import forecasts by leading economic
research institutes for the years 1970 to 2017 for Germany in a multivariate setting. To this …