Towards improved understanding of the applicability of uncertainty forecasts in the electric power industry

RJ Bessa, C Möhrlen, V Fundel, M Siefert, J Browell… - Energies, 2017 - mdpi.com
Around the world wind energy is starting to become a major energy provider in electricity
markets, as well as participating in ancillary services markets to help maintain grid stability …

Time adaptive conditional kernel density estimation for wind power forecasting

RJ Bessa, V Miranda, A Botterud… - IEEE Transactions …, 2012 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper reports the application of a new kernel density estimation model based on the
Nadaraya-Watson estimator, for the problem of wind power uncertainty forecasting. The new …

A statistical description of the error on wind power forecasts for probabilistic reserve sizing

K Bruninx, E Delarue - IEEE transactions on sustainable energy, 2014 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
As the share of wind power in the electricity system rises, the limited predictability of wind
power generation becomes increasingly critical for operating a power system reliably. In …

A novel probabilistic short-term wind energy forecasting model based on an improved kernel density estimation

J Guan, J Lin, JJ Guan, E Mokaramian - International Journal of Hydrogen …, 2020 - Elsevier
The evolution of renewable energy especially wind energy over the past decade has
surpassed all expectations. Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting is a good option …

Demand dispatch and probabilistic wind power forecasting in unit commitment and economic dispatch: A case study of Illinois

A Botterud, Z Zhou, J Wang, J Sumaili… - IEEE Transactions …, 2012 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In this paper, we analyze how demand dispatch combined with the use of probabilistic wind
power forecasting can help accommodate large shares of wind power in electricity market …

An improved genetic algorithm approach to the unit commitment/economic dispatch problem

R Ponciroli, NE Stauff, J Ramsey… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The deployment of new technologies, the importance of accurately modeling the dynamics
of the generating units and the introduction of new policies are making the solution of the …

An improved stochastic unit commitment formulation to accommodate wind uncertainty

C Uçkun, A Botterud, JR Birge - IEEE Transactions on Power …, 2015 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The United States targets to supply 20% of its electricity generation using wind energy by
2030. The expansion of renewable resources, especially weather-based resources such as …

Cooperative dispatch of wind generation and electric vehicles with battery storage capacity constraints in SCUC

C Shao, X Wang, X Wang, C Du… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2014 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Load dispatch such as Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) control of electric vehicles (EVs) is taken as a
promising way to promote the integration of wind power. This paper proposes a cooperation …

Solution sensitivity-based scenario reduction for stochastic unit commitment

Y Feng, SM Ryan - Computational Management Science, 2016 - Springer
A two-stage stochastic program is formulated for day-ahead commitment of thermal
generating units to minimize total expected cost considering uncertainties in the day-ahead …

Impact of wind power scenario reduction techniques on stochastic unit commitment

E Du, N Zhang, C Kang, J Bai… - … on Stochastic Models …, 2016 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Stochastic unit commitment (SUC) is an effective method widely used to cope with the
uncertainty of wind power. For the limitation of computation capability, only limited members …