B-learner: Quasi-oracle bounds on heterogeneous causal effects under hidden confounding

M Oprescu, J Dorn, M Ghoummaid… - International …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data is a crucial task across
many fields, helping policy and decision-makers take better actions. There has been recent …

Sharp bounds for generalized causal sensitivity analysis

D Frauen, V Melnychuk… - Advances in Neural …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Causal inference from observational data is crucial for many disciplines such as medicine
and economics. However, sharp bounds for causal effects under relaxations of the …

What's the harm? sharp bounds on the fraction negatively affected by treatment

N Kallus - Advances in Neural Information Processing …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
The fundamental problem of causal inference--that we never observe counterfactuals--
prevents us from identifying how many might be negatively affected by a proposed …

Hidden yet quantifiable: A lower bound for confounding strength using randomized trials

P De Bartolomeis, JA Martinez… - International …, 2024 - proceedings.mlr.press
In the era of fast-paced precision medicine, observational studies play a major role in
properly evaluating new treatments in clinical practice. Yet, unobserved confounding can …

Learning from a biased sample

R Sahoo, L Lei, S Wager - arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.01754, 2022 - arxiv.org
The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making assumes that we
can learn a decision rule from training data drawn under the same conditions as the ones …

A neural framework for generalized causal sensitivity analysis

D Frauen, F Imrie, A Curth, V Melnychuk… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Unobserved confounding is common in many applications, making causal inference from
observational data challenging. As a remedy, causal sensitivity analysis is an important tool …

Variance-based sensitivity analysis for weighting estimators results in more informative bounds

M Huang, SD Pimentel - Biometrika, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Weighting methods are popular tools for estimating causal effects, and assessing their
robustness under unobserved confounding is important in practice. Current approaches to …

Treatment effect risk: Bounds and inference

N Kallus - Management Science, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
Because the average treatment effect (ATE) measures the change in social welfare, even if
positive, there is a risk of negative effect on, say, some 10% of the population. Assessing …

Robust fitted-q-evaluation and iteration under sequentially exogenous unobserved confounders

D Bruns-Smith, A Zhou - arXiv preprint arXiv:2302.00662, 2023 - arxiv.org
Offline reinforcement learning is important in domains such as medicine, economics, and e-
commerce where online experimentation is costly, dangerous or unethical, and where the …

Fast convergence rates for dose-response estimation

M Bonvini, EH Kennedy - arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.11825, 2022 - arxiv.org
We consider the problem of estimating a dose-response curve, both globally and locally at a
point. Continuous treatments arise often in practice, eg in the form of time spent on an …