The surprising robustness of dynamic mean-variance portfolio optimization to model misspecification errors

PM van Staden, DM Dang, PA Forsyth - European Journal of Operational …, 2021 - Elsevier
In single-period portfolio optimization settings, Mean-Variance (MV) optimization can result
in notoriously unstable asset allocations due to small changes in the underlying asset …

Portfolio selection with exploration of new investment assets

LDG Aquino, D Sornette, MS Strub - European Journal of Operational …, 2023 - Elsevier
We introduce a model for portfolio selection with an extendable investment universe where
an agent with mean-variance preferences faces a trade-off between exploiting existing and …

On the distribution of terminal wealth under dynamic mean-variance optimal investment strategies

PM van Staden, DM Dang, PA Forsyth - SIAM Journal on Financial …, 2021 - SIAM
We compare the distributions of terminal wealth obtained from implementing the optimal
investment strategies associated with the different approaches to dynamic mean-variance …

Beating a benchmark: Dynamic programming may not be the right numerical approach

PM Van Staden, PA Forsyth, Y Li - SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 2023 - SIAM
We analyze dynamic investment strategies for benchmark outperformance using two widely
used objectives of practical interest to investors:(i) maximizing the information ratio (IR), and …

[HTML][HTML] A monotone numerical integration method for mean–variance portfolio optimization under jump-diffusion models

H Zhang, DM Dang - Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 2024 - Elsevier
We develop a highly efficient, easy-to-implement, and strictly monotone numerical
integration method for Mean-Variance (MV) portfolio optimization. This method proves very …

Predictable forward performance processes: Infrequent evaluation and applications to human‐machine interactions

G Liang, MS Strub, Y Wang - Mathematical Finance, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We study discrete‐time predictable forward processes when trading times do not coincide
with performance evaluation times in a binomial tree model for the financial market. The key …

Multiperiod mean Conditional Value at Risk asset allocation: Is it advantageous to be time consistent?

PA Forsyth - SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 2020 - SIAM
We formulate the multiperiod, time consistent mean-CVAR (conditional value at risk) asset
allocation problem in a form amenable to numerical computation. Our numerical algorithm …

Multi-Period Mean Expected-Shortfall Strategies:'Cut Your Losses and Ride Your Gains'

PA Forsyth, KR Vetzal - Applied Mathematical Finance, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Dynamic mean-variance (MV) optimal strategies are inherently contrarian. Following periods
of strong equity returns, there is a tendency to de-risk the portfolio by shifting into risk-free …

A Stochastic Control Approach to Defined Contribution Plan Decumulation: “The Nastiest, Hardest Problem in Finance”

PA Forsyth - North American Actuarial Journal, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
We pose the decumulation strategy for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan as a
problem in optimal stochastic control. The controls are the withdrawal amounts and the asset …

Optimal performance of a tontine overlay subject to withdrawal constraints

PA Forsyth, KR Vetzal, G Westmacott - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of …, 2024 - cambridge.org
We consider the holder of an individual tontine retirement account, with maximum and
minimum withdrawal amounts (per year) specified. The tontine account holder initiates the …