Errors in probabilistic reasoning have been the focus of much psychology research and are
among the original topics of modern behavioral economics. This chapter reviews theory and …

Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to review and integrate the extensive literature base
which examines judgment and decision‐making biases, to introduce this literature to the …

In writing the present book I have had in mind the following objectives:-To propose a
theoretical, comprehensive view of the domain of intuition.-To identify and organize the …

Blakey Vermeule wonders how readers become involved in the lives of fictional characters,
people they know do not exist. Vermeule examines the ways in which readers' experiences …

Como destaca el propio autor en las primeras páginas del libro, muchos especialistas de la
doctrina del proceso civil y del proceso penal se han ocupado, más o menos extensamente …

We present a model of intuitive inference, called “local thinking,” in which an agent
combines data received from the external world with information retrieved from memory to …

Taking on one of the most popular issues of the day—crime and the way we make sense of it—
Julian Roberts and Loretta Stalans reveal the mismatch between the public perception of …

In the early 1970s Tversky and Kahneman published a series of papers on 'heuristics and
biases' describing human inadequacies in assessing probabilities, culminating in a highly …

The article summarizes key insights from four laboratory experiments to study renewable
resource management. The commons problem, which is widely held to be the cause of …

This book focuses on how statistical reasoning works and on training programs that can
exploit people's natural cognitive capabilities to improve their statistical reasoning. Training …