Net zero: science, origins, and implications

MR Allen, P Friedlingstein, CAJ Girardin… - Annual Review of …, 2022 - annualreviews.org
This review explains the science behind the drive for global net zero emissions and why this
is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of …

An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

Evaluation of climate models

G Flato, J Marotzke, B Abiodun, P Braconnot… - Climate change 2013 …, 2014 - pure.mpg.de
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …

Detection and attribution of climate change: from global to regional

NL Bindoff, PAA Stott, KM AchutaRao… - Climate change 2013 …, 2014 - hal.science
This chapter assesses the causes of observed changes assessed in Chapters 2 to 5 and
uses understanding of physical processes, climate models and statistical approaches. The …

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

R Knutti, MAA Rugenstein, GC Hegerl - Nature Geoscience, 2017 - nature.com
Equilibrium climate sensitivity characterizes the Earth's long-term global temperature
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …

Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates

J Rogelj, M Meinshausen, R Knutti - Nature climate change, 2012 - nature.com
Climate projections for the fourth assessment report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) were based on scenarios from the Special Report on Emissions …

Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models

R Knutti, R Furrer, C Tebaldi, J Cermak… - Journal of …, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous general circulation climate models have
been run for a common set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of …

FAIR v1. 3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model

CJ Smith, PM Forster, M Allen, N Leach… - Geoscientific Model …, 2018 - gmd.copernicus.org
Simple climate models can be valuable if they are able to replicate aspects of complex fully
coupled earth system models. Larger ensembles can be produced, enabling a probabilistic …

Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

MR Allen, DJ Frame, C Huntingford, CD Jones… - Nature, 2009 - nature.com
Global efforts to mitigate climate change are guided by projections of future temperatures.
But the eventual equilibrium global mean temperature associated with a given stabilization …

Ensemble forecasting of species distributions

MB Araújo, M New - Trends in ecology & evolution, 2007 - cell.com
Concern over implications of climate change for biodiversity has led to the use of bioclimatic
models to forecast the range shifts of species under future climate-change scenarios. Recent …