Issues involved with the seasonal adjustment of economic time series

WR Bell, SC Hillmer - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1984 - Taylor & Francis
In the first part of this article, we briefly review the history of seasonal adjustment and
statistical time series analysis in order to understand why seasonal adjustment methods …

Time series analysis

WWS Wei - 2013 - academic.oup.com
Time Series Analysis | The Oxford Handbook of Quantitative Methods in Psychology: Vol.
2Statistical Analysis | Oxford Academic Skip to Main Content Advertisement Oxford Academic …

Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series

C Chen, LM Liu - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1993 - Taylor & Francis
Time series data are often subject to uncontrolled or unexpected interventions, from which
various types of outlying observations are produced. Outliers in time series, depending on …

Outliers, level shifts, and variance changes in time series

RS Tsay - Journal of forecasting, 1988 - Wiley Online Library
Outliers, level shifts, and variance changes are commonplace in applied time series
analysis. However, their existence is often ignored and their impact is overlooked, for the …

[图书][B] Statistical methods for forecasting

B Abraham, J Ledolter - 2009 - books.google.com
The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made
more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation …

Estimation of time series parameters in the presence of outliers

I Chang, GC Tiao, C Chen - Technometrics, 1988 - Taylor & Francis
Outliers in time series can be regarded as being generated by dynamic intervention models
at unknown time points. Two special cases, innovational outlier (IO) and additive outlier …

A distance measure for classifying ARIMA models

D Piccolo - Journal of time series analysis, 1990 - Wiley Online Library
In a number of practical problems where clustering or choosing from a set of dynamic
structures is needed, the introduction of a distance between the data is an early step in the …

Time series model specification in the presence of outliers

RS Tsay - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1986 - Taylor & Francis
Outliers are commonplace in data analysis. Time series analysis is no exception. Noting that
the effect of outliers on model identification statistics could be serious, this article is …

A smoothness priors–state space modeling of time series with trend and seasonality

G Kitagawa, W Gersch - Journal of the American Statistical …, 1984 - Taylor & Francis
A smoothness priors modeling of time series with trends and seasonalities is shown. An
observed time series is decomposed into local polynomial trend, seasonal, globally …

Dynamic harmonic regression

PC Young, DJ Pedregal, W Tych - Journal of forecasting, 1999 - Wiley Online Library
This paper describes in detail a flexible approach to nonstationary time series analysis
based on a Dynamic Harmonic Regression (DHR) model of the Unobserved Components …