Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

BC O'Neill, TR Carter, K Ebi, PA Harrison… - Nature climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …

Four approaches to anticipatory climate governance: Different conceptions of the future and implications for the present

K Muiderman, A Gupta, J Vervoort… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
In times of accelerating earth system transformations and their potentially disruptive societal
consequences, imagining and governing the future is now a core challenge for sustainability …

A meta-analysis of projected global food demand and population at risk of hunger for the period 2010–2050

M Van Dijk, T Morley, ML Rau, Y Saghai - Nature Food, 2021 - nature.com
Quantified global scenarios and projections are used to assess long-term future global food
security under a range of socio-economic and climate change scenarios. Here, we …

Potential for future reductions of global GHG and air pollutants from circular waste management systems

A Gómez-Sanabria, G Kiesewetter, Z Klimont… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
The rapidly rising generation of municipal solid waste jeopardizes the environment and
contributes to climate heating. Based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, we here …

Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

A Popp, K Calvin, S Fujimori, P Havlik… - Global Environmental …, 2017 - Elsevier
In the future, the land system will be facing new intersecting challenges. While food demand,
especially for resource-intensive livestock based commodities, is expected to increase, the …

[HTML][HTML] Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

DP Van Vuuren, E Stehfest, DEHJ Gernaat… - Global environmental …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land
use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent …

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

BC O'Neill, E Kriegler, KL Ebi, E Kemp-Benedict… - Global environmental …, 2017 - Elsevier
Long-term scenarios play an important role in research on global environmental change.
The climate change research community is developing new scenarios integrating future …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamic Energy Return on Energy Investment (EROI) and material requirements in scenarios of global transition to renewable energies

I Capellán-Pérez, C De Castro, LJM González - Energy strategy reviews, 2019 - Elsevier
A novel methodology is developed to dynamically assess the energy and material
investments required over time to achieve the transition from fossil fuels to renewable …

An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?

HR Maier, JHA Guillaume, H van Delden… - … modelling & software, 2016 - Elsevier
A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …

Copper demand, supply, and associated energy use to 2050

A Elshkaki, TE Graedel, L Ciacci, BK Reck - Global environmental change, 2016 - Elsevier
To a set of well-regarded international scenarios (UNEP's GEO-4), we have added
consideration of the demand, supply, and energy implications related to copper production …