Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scales: State of the art and future challenges
Seismic hazard modeling is a multidisciplinary science that aims to forecast earthquake
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
The New Zealand Community Fault Model–version 1.0: An improved geological foundation for seismic hazard modelling
ABSTRACT The New Zealand Community Fault Model (NZ CFM) is a publicly available
representation of New Zealand fault zones that have the potential to produce damaging …
representation of New Zealand fault zones that have the potential to produce damaging …
Spatiotemporal clustering of great earthquakes on a transform fault controlled by geometry
Minor changes in geometry along the length of mature strike-slip faults may act as
conditional barriers to earthquake rupture, terminating some and allowing others to pass …
conditional barriers to earthquake rupture, terminating some and allowing others to pass …
Community‐driven code comparisons for three‐dimensional dynamic modeling of sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip
Dynamic modeling of sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS) provides a self‐
consistent, physics‐based framework to connect, interpret, and predict diverse geophysical …
consistent, physics‐based framework to connect, interpret, and predict diverse geophysical …
Enumerating plausible multifault ruptures in complex fault systems with physical constraints
We propose a new model for determining the set of plausible multifault ruptures in an
interconnected fault system. We improve upon the rules used in the Third Uniform California …
interconnected fault system. We improve upon the rules used in the Third Uniform California …
Toward physics‐based nonergodic PSHA: A prototype fully deterministic seismic hazard model for southern California
We present a nonergodic framework for probabilistic seismic‐hazard analysis (PSHA) that is
constructed entirely of deterministic, physical models. The use of deterministic ground …
constructed entirely of deterministic, physical models. The use of deterministic ground …
Simplifying complex fault data for systems-level analysis: Earthquake geology inputs for US NSHM 2023
As part of the US National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) update planned for 2023, two
databases were prepared to more completely represent Quaternary-active faulting across …
databases were prepared to more completely represent Quaternary-active faulting across …
An earthquake simulator for New Zealand
We present an earthquake simulator for New Zealand. It uses the Rate‐and‐State
Earthquake Simulator engine based on approximations of the rate‐and‐state friction …
Earthquake Simulator engine based on approximations of the rate‐and‐state friction …
[HTML][HTML] Deterministic seismic hazard analysis from physics-based earthquake simulations in the Eastern Betics (SE Iberia)
The low frequency of large destructive earthquakes in the Eastern Betics (SE Iberian
Peninsula), not recorded in the instrumental seismic catalog, complicate the estimation of …
Peninsula), not recorded in the instrumental seismic catalog, complicate the estimation of …
How physics‐based earthquake simulators might help improve earthquake forecasts
EH Field - Seismological Research Letters, 2019 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Questions have persisted on the usefulness of physics‐based earthquake simulators with
respect to forecasting earthquakes, due mostly to the inevitable assumptions …
respect to forecasting earthquakes, due mostly to the inevitable assumptions …