Why survey-based subjective expectations are meaningful and important

F D'Acunto, M Weber - Annual Review of Economics, 2024 - annualreviews.org
For decades, households' subjective expectations elicited via surveys have been
considered meaningless because they often differ substantially from the forecasts of …

[PDF][PDF] Household disagreement about expected inflation

S Fofana, P Patzelt, R Reis - 2024 - lse.ac.uk
This paper surveys the major facts from research on disagreement between households on
what they expect inflation to be. We document them using figures and correlations that …

The inflation attention threshold and inflation surges

O Pfäuti - arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.09480, 2023 - arxiv.org
At the outbreak of the recent inflation surge, the public's attention to inflation was low but
increased rapidly once inflation started to rise. In this paper, I develop a general equilibrium …

How do supply shocks to inflation generalize? Evidence from the pandemic era in Europe

We document how supply-chain pressures, household inflation expectations, and firm
pricing power interacted to induce the pandemic-era surge in consumer price inflation in the …

Is high debt constraining monetary policy? Evidence from inflation expectations

L Brandao-Marques, M Casiraghi, G Gelos… - Journal of International …, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper examines whether high public debt levels pose a challenge to containing
inflation. It does so by assessing the impact of public debt surprises on inflation expectations …

Attention to the Macroeconomy

S Link, A Peichl, C Roth, J Wohlfart - 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We collect novel measures of households' and firms' attention to the economy using open-
ended survey questions, fielded during a large shock to inflation, and provide three sets of …

[HTML][HTML] Partisan expectations and covid-era inflation

CC Binder, R Kamdar, JM Ryngaert - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
We document that, during the COVID-19 era, the inflation expectations of Democrats
remained strongly anchored, while those of Republicans did not. Republicans' expectations …

Low passthrough from inflation expectations to income growth expectations: why people dislike inflation

I Hajdini, ES Knotek II, J Leer, M Pedemonte, RW Rich… - 2023 - clevelandfed.org
We implement a novel methodology to disentangle two-way causality in inflation and income
expectations in a large, nationally representative survey of US consumers. We find a 20 …

How do people view wage and price inflation?

M Jain, O Kostyshyna, X Zhang - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
Using household-level data from the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations over
2014Q4–2023Q2, we study wage growth expectations and their link with inflation …

Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation

P Schnorpfeil, M Weber, A Hackethal - 2023 - nber.org
We study the redistributive effects of inflation combining administrative bank data with an
information provision experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average …