Country-report pattern corrections of new cases allow accurate 2-week predictions of COVID-19 evolution with the Gompertz model

I Villanueva, D Conesa, M Català, C López Cano… - Scientific reports, 2024 - nature.com
Accurate short-term predictions of COVID-19 cases with empirical models allow Health
Officials to prepare for hospital contingencies in a two–three week window given the delay …

Learning from the past: A short term forecast method for the COVID-19 incidence curve

JD Morel, JM Morel, L Alvarez - PLoS Computational Biology, 2023 - journals.plos.org
The COVID-19 pandemy has created a radically new situation where most countries provide
raw measurements of their daily incidence and disclose them in real time. This enables new …

Importance of vaccine action and availability and epidemic severity for delaying the second vaccine dose

L Berec, R Levínský, J Weiner, M Šmíd, R Neruda… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Following initial optimism regarding potentially rapid vaccination, delays and shortages in
vaccine supplies occurred in many countries during spring 2021. Various strategies to …

[HTML][HTML] Explicit modeling of antibody levels for infectious disease simulations in the context of SARS-CoV-2

SA Müller, S Paltra, J Rehmann, K Nagel, TOF Conrad - Iscience, 2023 - cell.com
Measurable levels of immunoglobulin G antibodies develop after infections with and
vaccinations against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) …

[PDF][PDF] Modeling COVID Pandemics: Strengths and Weaknesses of Epidemic Models

M Šmıd - library.utia.cas.cz
We generally discuss modeling the present COVID pandemics. We argue that useful models
have to be simple in the first case, yet their uncertainty has to be handled properly. In order …