Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
[HTML][HTML] Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6
Abstract The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …
Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
Systematic climate model biases in the large‐scale patterns of recent sea‐surface temperature and sea‐level pressure change
Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a)
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
Evaluating global and regional land warming trends in the past decades with both MODIS and ERA5-Land land surface temperature data
Global surface temperature has been setting new record highs in the recent decades,
imposing increasing environmental challenges for societies and ecosystems worldwide …
imposing increasing environmental challenges for societies and ecosystems worldwide …
Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period
Abstract Parties to the Paris Agreement agreed to holding global average temperature
increases “well below 2° C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the …
increases “well below 2° C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the …
[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models
Climate sensitivity to CO 2 remains the key uncertainty in projections of future climate
change. Transient climate response (TCR) is the metric of temperature sensitivity that is most …
change. Transient climate response (TCR) is the metric of temperature sensitivity that is most …
Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau permafrost at risk in the late 21st century
Global warming has led to permafrost degradation worldwide. The Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau
(QTP) hosts most of the world's alpine permafrost, yet its impending changes remain largely …
(QTP) hosts most of the world's alpine permafrost, yet its impending changes remain largely …
Increased risk of near term global warming due to a recent AMOC weakening
Some of the new generation CMIP6 models are characterised by a strong temperature
increase in response to increasing greenhouse gases concentration1. At first glance, these …
increase in response to increasing greenhouse gases concentration1. At first glance, these …
Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction
Atlantic multidecadal variability is a coherent mode of natural climate variability occurring in
the North Atlantic Ocean, with strong impacts on human societies and ecosystems …
the North Atlantic Ocean, with strong impacts on human societies and ecosystems …