Conformal prediction: a unified review of theory and new challenges

M Fontana, G Zeni, S Vantini - Bernoulli, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Conformal prediction: A unified review of theory and new challenges Page 1 Bernoulli 29(1),
2023, 1–23 https://doi.org/10.3150/21-BEJ1447 Conformal prediction: A unified review of …

Conformal prediction beyond exchangeability

RF Barber, EJ Candes, A Ramdas… - The Annals of …, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Conformal prediction beyond exchangeability Page 1 The Annals of Statistics 2023, Vol. 51, No.
2, 816–845 https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOS2276 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2023 …

Predictive inference with the jackknife+

RF Barber, EJ Candes, A Ramdas, RJ Tibshirani - 2021 - projecteuclid.org
Predictive inference with the jackknife+ Page 1 The Annals of Statistics 2021, Vol. 49, No. 1,
486–507 https://doi.org/10.1214/20-AOS1965 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2021 …

Improved online conformal prediction via strongly adaptive online learning

A Bhatnagar, H Wang, C Xiong… - … Conference on Machine …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
We study the problem of uncertainty quantification via prediction sets, in an online setting
where the data distribution may vary arbitrarily over time. Recent work develops online …

Testing for outliers with conformal p-values

S Bates, E Candès, L Lei, Y Romano… - The Annals of …, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Testing for outliers with conformal p-values Page 1 The Annals of Statistics 2023, Vol. 51, No.
1, 149–178 https://doi.org/10.1214/22-AOS2244 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2023 …

Probabilistically robust conformal prediction

S Ghosh, Y Shi, T Belkhouja, Y Yan… - Uncertainty in …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Conformal prediction (CP) is a framework to quantify uncertainty of machine learning
classifiers including deep neural networks. Given a testing example and a trained classifier …

Uncertain data in learning: challenges and opportunities

S Destercke - Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Dealing with uncertain data in statistical estimation problems or in machine learning is not
really a new issue. However, such uncertainty has so far mostly been modelled either as …

Transcending transcend: Revisiting malware classification in the presence of concept drift

F Barbero, F Pendlebury, F Pierazzi… - 2022 IEEE Symposium …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Machine learning for malware classification shows encouraging results, but real
deployments suffer from performance degradation as malware authors adapt their …

Calibrated selective classification

A Fisch, T Jaakkola, R Barzilay - arXiv preprint arXiv:2208.12084, 2022 - arxiv.org
Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (eg, say" I don't
know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective …

Discriminative jackknife: Quantifying uncertainty in deep learning via higher-order influence functions

A Alaa, M Van Der Schaar - International Conference on …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Deep learning models achieve high predictive accuracy across a broad spectrum of tasks,
but rigorously quantifying their predictive uncertainty remains challenging. Usable estimates …