Inference for mark-censored temporal point processes

A Boyd, Y Chang, S Mandt… - Uncertainty in Artificial …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) are a general class of stochastic models for
modeling the evolution of events of different types (“marks”) in continuous time. These …

Predictive querying for autoregressive neural sequence models

A Boyd, S Showalter, S Mandt… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
In reasoning about sequential events it is natural to pose probabilistic queries such as
“when will event A occur next” or “what is the probability of A occurring before B”, with …

EventFlow: Forecasting Continuous-Time Event Data with Flow Matching

G Kerrigan, K Nelson, P Smyth - arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.07430, 2024 - arxiv.org
Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are
ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary …

Probabilistic Modeling for Sequences of Sets in Continuous-Time

Y Chang, A Boyd, P Smyth - arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.15045, 2023 - arxiv.org
Neural marked temporal point processes have been a valuable addition to the existing
toolbox of statistical parametric models for continuous-time event data. These models are …

On the Efficient Marginalization of Probabilistic Sequence Models

A Boyd - 2024 - escholarship.org
Real-world data often exhibits sequential dependence, across diverse domains such as
human behavior, medicine, finance, and climate modeling. Probabilistic methods capture …