Marginal likelihood estimation via power posteriors

N Friel, AN Pettitt - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series …, 2008 - academic.oup.com
Model choice plays an increasingly important role in statistics. From a Bayesian perspective
a crucial goal is to compute the marginal likelihood of the data for a given model. However …

Computing the Bayes factor from a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation of the posterior distribution

MD Weinberg - 2012 - projecteuclid.org
Determining the marginal likelihood from a simulated posterior distribution is central to
Bayesian model selection but is computationally challenging. The often-used harmonic …

Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations

H Rue, S Martino, N Chopin - Journal of the Royal Statistical …, 2009 - academic.oup.com
Structured additive regression models are perhaps the most commonly used class of models
in statistical applications. It includes, among others,(generalized) linear …

Likelihood-free MCMC

SA Sisson, Y Fan - Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo, 2011 - books.google.com
In Bayesian inference, the posterior distribution for parameters is given by л (0| y)∞ л (у| О)
л (0), where one's prior beliefs about the unknown parameters, as expressed through the …

Bayesian model choice via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods

BP Carlin, S Chib - Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society …, 1995 - academic.oup.com
SUMMARY Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) integration methods enable the fitting of
models of virtually unlimited complexity, and as such have revolutionized the practice of …

[HTML][HTML] PyMC: Bayesian stochastic modelling in Python

A Patil, D Huard, CJ Fonnesbeck - Journal of statistical software, 2010 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
PyMC: Bayesian Stochastic Modelling in Python - PMC Back to Top Skip to main content NIH
NLM Logo Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation …

Estimating the integrated likelihood via posterior simulation using the harmonic mean identity

AE Raftery, MA Newton, JM Satagopan, PN Krivitsky - 2006 - biostats.bepress.com
The integrated likelihood (also called the marginal likelihood or the normalizing constant) is
a central quantity in Bayesian model selection and model averaging. It is defined as the …

Predictive inference based on Markov chain Monte Carlo output

F Krüger, S Lerch, T Thorarinsdottir… - International Statistical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
In Bayesian inference, predictive distributions are typically in the form of samples generated
via Markov chain Monte Carlo or related algorithms. In this paper, we conduct a systematic …

Expected‐posterior prior distributions for model selection

JM Pérez, JO Berger - Biometrika, 2002 - academic.oup.com
We consider the problem of comparing parametric models using a Bayesian approach. A
new method of developing prior distributions for the model parameters is presented, called …

Model choice using reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo

DI Hastie, PJ Green - Statistica Neerlandica, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
We review the across‐model simulation approach to computation for Bayesian model
determination, based on the reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo method …