A multivariate Poisson-lognormal regression model for prediction of crash counts by severity, using Bayesian methods

J Ma, KM Kockelman, P Damien - Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2008 - Elsevier
Numerous efforts have been devoted to investigating crash occurrence as related to
roadway design features, environmental factors and traffic conditions. However, most of the …

Bayesian multivariate Poisson regression for models of injury count, by severity

J Ma, KM Kockelman - Transportation Research Record, 2006 - journals.sagepub.com
In practice, crash and injury counts are modeled by using a single equation or a series of
independently specified equations, which may neglect shared information in unobserved …

Multivariate poisson lognormal modeling of crashes by type and severity on rural two lane highways

K Wang, JN Ivan, N Ravishanker, E Jackson - Accident Analysis & …, 2017 - Elsevier
In an effort to improve traffic safety, there has been considerable interest in estimating crash
prediction models and identifying factors contributing to crashes. To account for crash …

Bayesian multivariate Poisson lognormal models for crash severity modeling and site ranking

J Aguero-Valverde, PP Jovanis - Transportation research …, 2009 - journals.sagepub.com
Traditionally, highway safety analyses have used univariate Poisson or negative binomial
distributions to model crash counts for different levels of crash severity. Because …

Multi-level Bayesian analyses for single-and multi-vehicle freeway crashes

R Yu, M Abdel-Aty - Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2013 - Elsevier
This study presents multi-level analyses for single-and multi-vehicle crashes on a
mountainous freeway. Data from a 15-mile mountainous freeway section on I-70 were …

A simultaneous equations model of crash frequency by severity level for freeway sections

X Ye, RM Pendyala, V Shankar, KC Konduri - Accident Analysis & …, 2013 - Elsevier
This paper presents a simultaneous equations model of crash frequencies by severity level
for freeway sections using five-year crash severity frequency data for 275 multilane freeway …

Collision prediction models using multivariate Poisson-lognormal regression

K El-Basyouny, T Sayed - Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2009 - Elsevier
This paper advocates the use of multivariate Poisson-lognormal (MVPLN) regression to
develop models for collision count data. The MVPLN approach presents an opportunity to …

Modeling crash outcome probabilities at rural intersections: Application of hierarchical binomial logistic models

DG Kim, Y Lee, S Washington, K Choi - Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2007 - Elsevier
It is important to examine the nature of the relationships between roadway, environmental,
and traffic factors and motor vehicle crashes, with the aim to improve the collective …

Multivariate Poisson-lognormal models for jointly modeling crash frequency by severity

ES Park, D Lord - Transportation Research Record, 2007 - journals.sagepub.com
A new multivariate approach is introduced for jointly modeling data on crash counts by
severity on the basis of multivariate Poisson-lognormal models. Although the data on crash …

Investigating the effects of the fixed and varying dispersion parameters of Poisson-gamma models on empirical Bayes estimates

D Lord, PYJ Park - Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2008 - Elsevier
Traditionally, transportation safety analysts have used the empirical Bayes (EB) method to
improve the estimate of the long-term mean of individual sites; to correct for the regression-to …