A nonparametric GARCH model of crude oil price return volatility

A Hou, S Suardi - Energy Economics, 2012 - Elsevier
The use of parametric GARCH models to characterise crude oil price volatility is widely
observed in the empirical literature. In this paper, we consider an alternative approach …

Forecasting crude oil market volatility: Further evidence using GARCH-class models

Y Wei, Y Wang, D Huang - Energy Economics, 2010 - Elsevier
This paper extends the work of Kang et al.(2009). We use a greater number of linear and
nonlinear generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) class models …

Volatility forecasting of crude oil market: Can the regime switching GARCH model beat the single-regime GARCH models?

YJ Zhang, T Yao, LY He, R Ripple - International Review of Economics & …, 2019 - Elsevier
GARCH-type models are frequently used to forecast crude oil price volatility, and whether
we should consider multiple regimes for the GARCH-type models is of great significance for …

Modeling and forecasting petroleum futures volatility

P Sadorsky - Energy economics, 2006 - Elsevier
Forecasts of oil price volatility are important inputs into macroeconometric models, financial
market risk assessment calculations like value at risk, and option pricing formulas for futures …

International evidence on crude oil price dynamics: Applications of ARIMA-GARCH models

H Mohammadi, L Su - Energy Economics, 2010 - Elsevier
We examine the usefulness of several ARIMA-GARCH models for modeling and forecasting
the conditional mean and volatility of weekly crude oil spot prices in eleven international …

A Markov switching long memory model of crude oil price return volatility

S Di Sanzo - Energy Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
I propose a time series model that simultaneously captures long memory and Markov
switching dynamics to analyze and forecast oil price return volatility. I compare the fit and …

Forecasting crude oil price volatility

AM Herrera, L Hu, D Pastor - International Journal of Forecasting, 2018 - Elsevier
We use high-frequency intra-day realized volatility data to evaluate the relative forecasting
performances of various models that are used commonly for forecasting the volatility of …

Forecasting volatility of energy commodities: Comparison of GARCH models with support vector regression

M Fałdziński, P Fiszeder, W Orzeszko - Energies, 2020 - mdpi.com
We compare the forecasting performance of the generalized autoregressive conditional
heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models with support vector regression (SVR) for futures …

Volatility forecasting for crude oil futures

M Marzo, P Zagaglia - Applied Economics Letters, 2010 - Taylor & Francis
This article studies the forecasting properties of linear GARCH models for closing-day
futures prices on crude oil, first position, traded in the New York Mercantile Exchange from …

Time-varying jump intensity and volatility forecasting of crude oil returns

L Zhang, Y Chen, E Bouri - Energy Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
Modelling and forecasting of crude oil volatility have been widely examined using GARCH-
type models, and evidence suggests the presence of time-varying jumps in the crude oil …