Single or combine? Tourism demand volatility forecasting with exponential weighting and smooth transition combining methods

Y Zhang, WC Choo, JS Ho, CK Wan - Computation, 2022 - mdpi.com
Tourism forecasting has garnered considerable interest. However, integrating tourism
forecasting with volatility is significantly less typical. This study investigates the performance …

Forecasting and modelling for the inbound tourism demand volatility

Y Zhang, WC Choo, YA Aziz… - International Journal of …, 2022 - inderscienceonline.com
Many past studies conducted have explored and focused primarily on forecasting and
predicting tourism demand. However, this research aims to concentrate on the aspect of how …

Accurately forecasting model for the stochastic volatility data in tourism demand

YL Huang, YH Lee - Modern economy, 2011 - public.paper4promo.com
This study attempts to enhance the effectiveness of stochastic volatility data. This work
presents an empirical case involving the forecasting of tourism demand to demonstrate the …

Forecasting tourism demand with a new time-varying forecast averaging approach

Y Sun, J Zhang, X Li, S Wang - Journal of Travel Research, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
Existing research has shown that combination can effectively improve tourism forecasting
accuracy compared with single model. However, the model uncertainty and structural …

Effects of Multiple Financial News Shocks on Tourism Demand Volatility Modelling and Forecasting

Y Zhang, WC Choo, Y Abdul Aziz, CL Yee… - Journal of Risk and …, 2022 - mdpi.com
Even though both symmetric and asymmetric conceptions of news impacts are well-
established in the disciplines of economics and financial markets, the effects of combining …

Combining linear and nonlinear model in forecasting tourism demand

KY Chen - Expert Systems with Applications, 2011 - Elsevier
Much research shows that combining forecasts improves accuracy relative to individual
forecasts. However, existing non-tourism related literature shows that combined forecasts …

Tourism combination forecasting using a dynamic weighting strategy with change-point analysis

YC Hu - Current Issues in Tourism, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Combination forecasting is an important in the literature on tourism. This study considers
three important issues to develop a more accurate combination forecasting method for …

Non-linear models for tourism demand forecasting

A Saayman, I Botha - Tourism Economics, 2017 - journals.sagepub.com
Quantitative methods for forecasting tourist arrivals can be subdivided into causal methods
and non-causal methods. Non-causal time series methods remain popular tourism …

Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework

X Li, Y Xu, R Law, S Wang - Annals of Tourism Research, 2024 - Elsevier
This study introduces an innovative framework that harnesses the most recent transformer
architecture to enhance tourism demand forecasting. The proposed transformer-based …

A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia‐Pacific region

C Zhang, F Jiang, S Wang, S Sun - International Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Previous studies have shown that different market factors influence tourism demand at
different timescales. Accordingly, we propose the decomposition ensemble learning …