The so-called “non-commutativity” of probability kinematics has caused much unjustified
concern. When identical learning is properly represented, namely, by identical Bayes factors …

Probability kinematics is the theory of how subjective probabilities change with time, in
response to certain constraints (accepted by the subject in response to his experience or …

In this paper I shall argue with some formal justification that (general ized) Bayesian
conditionalization includes all (irreversible) probability kinematics, in particular, kinematics …

In the following, I shall illustrate through examples how useful the notions and results of
ergodic theory are for the foundations of probability. Ergodic theory can be discussed from …

The article responds to some of the points raised by B. van Fraassen concerning probability
kinematics and direct inference within the framework of the approach to the revision of …

Four important arguments for probabilism—the Dutch Book, representation theorem,
calibration, and gradational accuracy arguments—have a strikingly similar structure. Each …

Richard Jeffrey espoused an antifoundationalist variant of Bayesian thinking that he termed
'Radical Probabilism'. Radical Probabilism denies both the existence of an ideal, unbiased …

Concepts related to probability permeate physics. This is most obvious in statistical
mechanics, in which probabilities appear explicitly, but even in cases when predictions are …

Richard Jeffrey's recent book1 is a contribution of major importance to a unified theory of
probability and utility. In addition, it is full of interesting suggestions regarding the way in …

212 II-JEREMY BUrrERFIELD me mention here four agreements. First, I agree with him in
favouring the Montague-Earman definition of determinism (his § I); and with the point that …